
Session 03 · Valuation
Score five strategic factors. See how judgement moves the real-world price.
Starting Point — DCF Base Value
From Exercise B (default assumptions)
$305.1m
Implied EV/EBITDA
10.0×
Score the Five Value Drivers
Adjusted Valuation
DCF EV/EBITDA
10.0×
Adjusted EV/EBITDA
10.0×
Broadly DCF-aligned — qualitative factors are balanced.
Factor Impact
Key Insight
The DCF is the floor — a mechanical output of growth and discount rate assumptions. But real deals are priced by humans who factor in the quality of the management team, how defensible the margins are, and what the business could become. A business that scores well across all five dimensions routinely trades at a 20–40% premium to its DCF value. The inverse is equally true. Management credibility and strategic optionality alone often explain the difference between an 8× and a 14× outcome.